Number of under-five deaths measures the magnitude of child mortality.
Definition:
Number of under-five deaths is the count of deaths occurring to a child, before reaching the age of five.
Disaggregation:
Age, Sex
M&E Framework:
Impact
Method of estimation:
These numbers of under-5 deaths are estimates, derived from the estimated UN IGME under-5 mortality rate and the population from World Population Prospects published by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs; hence they are not necessarily the same as the official national statistics.
More precisely, first, 1q4, the probability of dying between 1 to 4 years is derived from 1q0 and 5q0 as follows: 4q1 = (5q0-1q0)/(1-1q0)
where 1q0= probability of dying between 0 to 1, estimated by infant mortality rate estimated by the UN IGME , and
5q0=probability of dying between 0 to 5, estimated by under-5 mortality rates by the UN IGME.
Then, for each age group 0 and 1-4, the central death rate M0 and M1 is computed as follows:
M0 = 1q0/[1-(1-a)* 1q0]
M1 = 4* 4q1 / 4*[1-(1-0.4)*4q1]
where a is the fraction of year lived by an infant
= 0.1 for low mortality country and a= 0.3 for high mortality country
Finally, to obtain the number of deaths for each age group 0, 1-4, country population estimates of 0 and 1-4 from the latest available WPP are applied to the death rates of the corresponding age group; the number of deaths are then summed.
Method of estimation of global and regional aggregates:
Global and regional estimates are derived from numbers of estimated deaths, aggregated by relevant region.